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BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegionwin 1:0
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Liquidloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bignum · 30 games
47%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Speeed · 25 games
68%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Speeed · 22 games
41%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Bignum · 19 games
37%
Rubick
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
RCY · 16 games
44%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Fayde · 15 games
40%
Kez
Kezsignature
RCY · 15 games
60%

Team Liquid

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 38 games
63%
Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 30 games
60%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 27 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 23 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 22 games
73%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Boxi · 19 games
53%
Rubick
Rubick
Boxi · 18 games
39%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 17 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
524 picks · 307 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
424 picks · 183 bans
52%
Mirana
Mirana
384 picks · 172 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 503 bans
58%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
326 picks · 294 bans
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
314 picks · 310 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
300 picks · 505 bans
53%
Windranger
Windranger
279 picks · 152 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 59%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 7
Model total76% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:24
GamerLegion 38%Team Liquid 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 41:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidYuma
58% · 64 games45% · 81 game
Dragon KnightMidOne
Dragon Knight
Invoker
InvokerRCY
52% · 136 games41% · 82 games
LifestealermiCKe
Lifestealer
Brewmaster
BrewmasterFayde
49% · 81 game46% · 165 games
SlardarWisper
Slardar
Mirana
MiranaSpeeed
56% · 138 games42% · 134 games
RingmasterBoxi
Ringmaster
Lion
LionBignum
59% · 107 games53% · 64 games
Witch DoctortOfu
Witch Doctor
Game 2prediction missed
GamerLegion 24%Team Liquid 76%
The model gave 76% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by GamerLegion.
Game 3prediction missed39:16
GamerLegion 36%Team Liquid 64%
The model gave 64% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 39:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoYuma
54% · 13 games48% · 164 games
Dragon KnightmiCKe
Dragon Knight
Invoker
InvokerRCY
56% · 226 games53% · 187 games
LargoWisper
Largo
Slardar
SlardarFayde
54% · 376 games49% · 166 games
Void SpiritMidOne
Void Spirit
Mirana
MiranaSpeeed
44% · 197 games46% · 88 games
LichtOfu
Lich
Windranger
WindrangerBignum
51% · 363 games47% · 570 games
HoodwinkBoxi
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 76%
Series resultGamerLegion 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3