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ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO2
result vs prediction
GamerLegionloss 1:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yakult Brothersloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 19 games
58%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Speeed · 19 games
53%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 17 games
41%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 17 games
41%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 16 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Bignum · 14 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 13 games
23%
Viper
Viperoften banned
YamSun · 13 games
54%

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 29 games
45%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
天命 · 26 games
35%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 25 games
76%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Emo · 24 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 22 games
32%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Moon · 21 game
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 18 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
zeal · 17 games
41%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
649 picks · 821 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
566 picks · 587 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
466 picks · 403 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
460 picks · 306 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
412 picks · 1061 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
386 picks · 692 bans
59%
Mars
Mars
381 picks · 618 bans
47%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
375 picks · 980 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 36%
Hero pool strength53% GamerLegion
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total55% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:26
GamerLegion 53%Yakult Brothers 47%
The model gave 53% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 42:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezRCY
47% · 146 games50% · 139 games
MuertaGhost
Muerta
Omniknight
OmniknightShad
49% · 67 games51% · 344 games
PuckMoon
Puck
Batrider
BatriderFayde
52% · 309 games52% · 167 games
TidehunterYang
Tidehunter
Chen
ChenSpeeed
53% · 246 games46% · 460 games
Jakiro天命
Jakiro
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanBignum
51% · 428 games50% · 86 games
LionBoBoKa
Lion
Game 2prediction correct32:19
GamerLegion 51%Yakult Brothers 49%
The model gave 51% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 36:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tinker
TinkerRCY
43% · 92 games59% · 331 game
Templar AssassinGhost
Templar Assassin
Windranger
WindrangerShad
53% · 317 games52% · 195 games
DoomYang
Doom
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
52% · 341 game47% · 155 games
ViperMoon
Viper
Warlock
WarlockSpeeed
45% · 478 games49% · 871 game
Jakiro天命
Jakiro
Tusk
TuskBignum
47% · 432 games50% · 108 games
LionBoBoKa
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2