Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionGMGatitos Malvadosloss 0:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
los moticucoswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gatitos Malvados
No games played over 6 months.
los moticucos
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
765 picks · 606 bans
Disruptor
548 picks · 462 bans
Beastmaster
423 picks · 992 bans
Tiny
423 picks · 379 bans
Ember Spirit
396 picks · 927 bans
Undying
394 picks · 596 bans
Nature's Prophet
393 picks · 670 bans
Doom
389 picks · 575 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Gatitos Malvados
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% los moticucos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:13
Gatitos Malvados 49%los moticucos 51%
The model gave 51% on los moticucos — the game was taken by los moticucos in 27:52.
Game 2prediction correct15:25
Gatitos Malvados 49%los moticucos 51%
The model gave 51% on los moticucos — the game was taken by los moticucos in 23:08.
Model check result
Model favoritelos moticucos · 51%
Series resultlos moticucos 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2