BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Geek Famwin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NANeon Atomicloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Geek Fam
Marssignature
eleven · 15 games
Skywrath Mage
ace12 · 14 games
Broodmotheroften banned
423 · 13 games
Tiny
Sancity · 13 games
Undyingoften banned
ace12 · 11 games
Rubick
Hishge · 10 games
Visageoften banned
eleven · 9 games
Snapfire
Hishge · 8 games
Neon Atomic
Silencer
Hated · 3 games
Tiny
JG · 3 games
Disruptor
Hated · 2 games
Marsoften banned
JG · 2 games
Outworld Destroyer
JG · 2 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Hated · 2 games
Tusk
JG · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Hated · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
378 picks · 602 bans
Undying
317 picks · 560 bans
Tiny
312 picks · 204 bans
Primal Beast
246 picks · 477 bans
Pangolier
238 picks · 344 bans
Enigma
221 picks · 723 bans
Shadow Fiend
210 picks · 254 bans
Tusk
207 picks · 119 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 27%
Hero pool strength52% Geek Fam
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Geek Fam
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:29
Geek Fam 61%Neon Atomic 39%
The model gave 61% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 44:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember SpiritSkem
Monkey KingJG
EarthshakerForce
SilencerHated
MiranaNARMAN
BrewmasterRoddgeee
Game 2prediction correct47:22
Geek Fam 60%Neon Atomic 40%
The model gave 60% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 42:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PudgeSkem
TinyJG
Dragon KnightForce
RubickHated
GrimstrokeNARMAN
Crystal MaidenRoddgeee
Model check result
Model favoriteGeek Fam · 70%
Series resultGeek Fam 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2