?
arrow_backBack to match
BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Geek Famwin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Unity Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Geek Fam

Mars
Marssignature
eleven · 15 games
60%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mageoften banned
ace12 · 14 games
57%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
423 · 13 games
46%
Rubick
Rubick
Hishge · 13 games
54%
Tiny
Tiny
Sancity · 13 games
54%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
ace12 · 11 games
55%
Visage
Visageoften banned
eleven · 9 games
56%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Hishge · 8 games
75%

Unity Gaming

Disruptor
Disruptor
Lwwnb · 5 games
60%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Night · 5 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
Night · 5 games
80%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 4 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
mks- · 2 games
50%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 2 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Night · 2 games
0%
Lich
Lich
Lwwnb · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
360 picks · 579 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
340 picks · 237 bans
48%
Undying
Undying
293 picks · 526 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
260 picks · 164 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
254 picks · 403 bans
54%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
249 picks · 491 bans
55%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
219 picks · 291 bans
52%
Enigma
Enigma
205 picks · 693 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 46%
Hero pool strength52% Unity Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total67% Geek Fam
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:30
Geek Fam 67%Unity Gaming 33%
The model gave 67% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 45:24.
Game 2prediction correct33:25
Geek Fam 67%Unity Gaming 33%
The model gave 67% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 38:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteGeek Fam · 67%
Series resultGeek Fam 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2