DreamLeague Season 25. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Get Rektwin 1:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:0
SRSewer Ratsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Get Rekt
No games played over 6 months.
Sewer Rats
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
386 picks · 491 bans
Muerta
375 picks · 294 bans
Tusk
357 picks · 383 bans
Pangolier
337 picks · 546 bans
Batrider
322 picks · 380 bans
Beastmaster
314 picks · 721 bans
Lion
312 picks · 152 bans
Gyrocopter
290 picks · 398 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Get Rekt
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Sewer Rats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Get Rekt 46%Sewer Rats 54%
The model gave 54% on Sewer Rats — the game was taken by Get Rekt.
Model check result
Model favoriteSewer Rats · 54%
Series resultGet Rekt 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1