The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GG Boomwin 2:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Igniteloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GG Boom
No games played over 6 months.
Ignite
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
636 picks · 432 bans
Rubick
550 picks · 307 bans
Phoenix
494 picks · 589 bans
Tiny
471 picks · 402 bans
Pangolier
435 picks · 638 bans
Puck
357 picks · 1022 bans
Tusk
347 picks · 305 bans
Ember Spirit
346 picks · 540 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 55%
Hero pool strength50% GG Boom
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Ignite
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:38
GG Boom 36%Ignite 64%
The model gave 64% on Ignite — the game was taken by Ignite in 34:16.
Game 2prediction missed52:51
GG Boom 36%Ignite 64%
The model gave 64% on Ignite — the game was taken by GG Boom in 1:10:29.
Game 3prediction missed48:21
GG Boom 36%Ignite 64%
The model gave 64% on Ignite — the game was taken by GG Boom in 40:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteIgnite · 64%
Series resultGG Boom 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3