ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionGTGG teamloss 0:2
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GG team
No games played over 6 months.
Zero Tenacity
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
Muerta
Thiolicor · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
LeBronDota · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Stojkov · 1 game
Pugna
LeBronDota · 1 game
Sand Kingoften banned
MikSa` · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
434 picks · 562 bans
Clockwerk
377 picks · 379 bans
Pangolier
322 picks · 445 bans
Luna
319 picks · 377 bans
Enchantress
300 picks · 577 bans
Dark Willow
284 picks · 151 bans
Dragon Knight
268 picks · 332 bans
Sand King
257 picks · 759 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 70%
Hero pool strength59% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:29
GG team 27%Zero Tenacity 73%
The model gave 73% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 18:56.
Game 2prediction correct28:36
GG team 27%Zero Tenacity 73%
The model gave 73% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 39:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 73%
Series resultZero Tenacity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2