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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
GLYPHwin 1:0
series probability
7%93%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Aurora Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GLYPH

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 8 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 7 games
71%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 7 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 4 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 4 games
75%
Kez
Kezoften banned
JaCkky · 4 games
100%
Largo
Largooften banned
zeal · 4 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
zeal · 3 games
67%

Aurora Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 61 game
66%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 55 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 52 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 49 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 45 games
71%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Nightfall · 40 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
Ws · 38 games
61%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 36 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
548 picks · 340 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
477 picks · 564 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
443 picks · 234 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
428 picks · 355 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
368 picks · 504 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
323 picks · 848 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
317 picks · 214 bans
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
316 picks · 800 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 63%
Hero pool strength53% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed48:19
GLYPH 21%Aurora Gaming 79%
The model gave 79% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by GLYPH in 42:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
47% · 446 games49% · 217 games
SnapfireMikoto
Snapfire
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendJaCkky
53% · 298 games49% · 330 games
TinyNightfall
Tiny
Omniknight
Omniknightzeal
43% · 47 games48% · 148 games
TidehunterWs
Tidehunter
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernNARMAN
49% · 49 games52% · 262 games
Shadow DemonKaori
Shadow Demon
Clockwerk
ClockwerkJhocam
52% · 211 games54% · 94 games
LionMira
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 93%
Series resultGLYPH 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1