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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GLYPHwin 2:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Execrationloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GLYPH

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 13 games
62%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 9 games
44%
Rubick
Rubick
Jhocam · 7 games
29%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 7 games
71%
Kez
Kezsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
67%
Windranger
Windranger
JaCkky · 6 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 5 games
40%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 5 games
40%

Execration

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 13 games
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Palos · 11 games
55%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
cml · 11 games
55%
Jakiro
Jakiro
cml · 10 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 10 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Bob · 10 games
70%
Axe
Axe
Tino- · 9 games
44%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Shanks · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
605 picks · 377 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
498 picks · 273 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
493 picks · 582 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
468 picks · 391 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
408 picks · 568 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
345 picks · 937 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
336 picks · 872 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
333 picks · 282 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% GLYPH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% GLYPH
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:19
GLYPH 55%Execration 45%
The model gave 55% on GLYPH — the game was taken by Execration in 38:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
46% · 260 games56% · 113 games
LunaAkashi
Luna
Tiny
TinyJaCkky
46% · 290 games50% · 210 games
DoomTino-
Doom
Omniknight
Omniknightzeal
55% · 17 games47% · 348 games
PangolierBob
Pangolier
Windranger
WindrangerJhocam
54% · 168 games58% · 144 games
Keeper of the LightShanks
Keeper of the Light
Enchantress
EnchantressNARMAN
44% · 139 games50% · 59 games
Crystal Maidencml
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct35:28
GLYPH 55%Execration 45%
The model gave 55% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH in 47:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerJaCkky
49% · 214 games60% · 187 games
Nature's ProphetTino-
Nature's Prophet
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
48% · 342 games46% · 197 games
KezAkashi
Kez
Beastmaster
Beastmasterzeal
51% · 228 games50% · 435 games
Ember SpiritBob
Ember Spirit
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorNARMAN
55% · 81 game45% · 109 games
TechiesShanks
Techies
Lion
LionJhocam
50% · 109 games48% · 46 games
Crystal Maidencml
Crystal Maiden
Game 3prediction correct15:5
GLYPH 57%Execration 43%
The model gave 57% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH in 21:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendJaCkky
52% · 179 games53% · 261 game
TerrorbladeAkashi
Terrorblade
Tidehunter
Tidehunterzeal
50% · 189 games42% · 108 games
LycanTino-
Lycan
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
46% · 339 games52% · 548 games
Ember SpiritBob
Ember Spirit
Tusk
TuskJhocam
50% · 361 game47% · 228 games
Enchantresscml
Enchantress
Bane
BaneNARMAN
55% · 160 games54% · 83 games
GrimstrokeShanks
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteGLYPH · 61%
Series resultGLYPH 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3