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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
GLYPHloss 0:1
series probability
4%96%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PARIVISIONwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GLYPH

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 10 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 8 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 7 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 4 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 4 games
75%
Kez
Kezoften banned
JaCkky · 4 games
100%
Largo
Largooften banned
zeal · 4 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
JaCkky · 3 games
33%

PARIVISION

Slardar
Slardarsignature
SSS · 35 games
66%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 30 games
73%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
77%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 25 games
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
64%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 21 game
81%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 20 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
555 picks · 343 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
475 picks · 566 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
448 picks · 235 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
428 picks · 357 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
373 picks · 513 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
321 picks · 852 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
316 picks · 796 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 70%
Hero pool strength56% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:23
GLYPH 17%PARIVISION 83%
The model gave 83% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 22:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezJaCkky
48% · 99 games50% · 210 games
Shadow FiendSatanic
Shadow Fiend
Lycan
Lycanzeal
55% · 93 games41% · 63 games
EarthshakerNo[o]ne
Earthshaker
Slardar
SlardarEmo
53% · 243 games44% · 164 games
AxeNoticed
Axe
Windranger
WindrangerJhocam
54% · 189 games46% · 165 games
Rubick9Class
Rubick
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorNARMAN
54% · 96 games51% · 118 games
BaneDukalis
Bane
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 96%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1