Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
GLYPHloss 2:3series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:3
REKONIXwin 3:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GLYPH
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 16 games
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 9 games
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 8 games
Windranger
JaCkky · 8 games
Rubick
Jhocam · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 6 games
Kezsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
Shadow Fiendsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
REKONIX
Tiny
TraVins · 25 games
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 20 games
Puckoften banned
inYourdreaM · 19 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 18 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
inYourdreaM · 17 games
Rubick
dalul · 17 games
Kezsignature
TraVins · 16 games
Phoenixoften banned
Varizh · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
608 picks · 378 bans
Rubick
500 picks · 277 bans
Phoenix
495 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
471 picks · 393 bans
Pangolier
412 picks · 575 bans
Puck
349 picks · 945 bans
Beastmaster
337 picks · 882 bans
Tusk
336 picks · 284 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% GLYPH
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total51% GLYPH
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:33
GLYPH 50%REKONIX 50%
The model gave 50% on GLYPH — the game was taken by REKONIX in 45:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmasterzeal
Lone DruidTraVins
Shadow FiendJaCkky
Ember SpiritinYourdreaM
MeepoEmo
ViperFbz
Keeper of the LightJhocam
Marcidalul
TuskNARMAN
LichVarizh
Game 2prediction missed30:17
GLYPH 49%REKONIX 51%
The model gave 51% on REKONIX — the game was taken by GLYPH in 40:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeJaCkky
LunaTraVins
PuckEmo
PangolierFbz
Brewmasterzeal
TinyinYourdreaM
RubickJhocam
LichVarizh
Winter WyvernNARMAN
Tuskdalul
Game 3prediction missed20:28
GLYPH 51%REKONIX 49%
The model gave 51% on GLYPH — the game was taken by REKONIX in 43:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendJaCkky
TerrorbladeTraVins
Ember SpiritEmo
TimbersawFbz
Tidehunterzeal
PuckinYourdreaM
RubickJhocam
EnchantressVarizh
TuskNARMAN
Liondalul
Game 4prediction correct21:15
GLYPH 52%REKONIX 48%
The model gave 52% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH in 51:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosJaCkky
TimbersawFbz
InvokerEmo
TinyTraVins
Brewmasterzeal
PangolierinYourdreaM
TuskJhocam
PhoenixVarizh
Winter WyvernNARMAN
Liondalul
Game 5prediction missed10:31
GLYPH 52%REKONIX 48%
The model gave 52% on GLYPH — the game was taken by REKONIX in 40:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
ClinkzJaCkky
TinyTraVins
InvokerEmo
UnderlordFbz
Beastmasterzeal
Storm SpiritinYourdreaM
Winter WyvernNARMAN
Rubickdalul
LionJhocam
Ancient ApparitionVarizh
Model check result
Model favoriteGLYPH · 51%
Series resultREKONIX 2:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 5