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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
GLYPHloss 0:1
series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Spiritwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GLYPH

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 8 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 8 games
75%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 7 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 4 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 4 games
75%
Kez
Kezoften banned
JaCkky · 4 games
100%
Largo
Largooften banned
zeal · 4 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
zeal · 3 games
67%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 39 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Panto · 22 games
64%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
rue · 22 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 21 game
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
62%
Tusk
Tusk
rue · 21 game
52%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
60%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 20 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
552 picks · 341 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
477 picks · 564 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
444 picks · 234 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
426 picks · 359 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
369 picks · 507 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
323 picks · 848 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
313 picks · 800 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
313 picks · 213 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% GLYPH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:30
GLYPH 30%Team Spirit 70%
The model gave 70% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 38:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendJaCkky
51% · 272 games56% · 45 games
Drow RangerYatoro
Drow Ranger
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
51% · 383 games45% · 272 games
SnapfireLarl
Snapfire
Batrider
Batriderzeal
51% · 318 games42% · 321 game
MarsCollapse
Mars
Rubick
RubickJhocam
51% · 168 games43% · 488 games
Tuskrue
Tusk
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorNARMAN
65% · 102 games51% · 117 games
Lionnot me
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 86%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1