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DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GLYPHwin 2:0
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GLYPH

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 4 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
NARMAN · 3 games
100%
Largo
Largooften banned
zeal · 3 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Emo · 3 games
33%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
zeal · 2 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
JaCkky · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
JaCkky · 2 games
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 2 games
50%

Yangon Galacticos

Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
40%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
641 picks · 695 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
517 picks · 450 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
492 picks · 408 bans
50%
Warlock
Warlock
433 picks · 288 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
415 picks · 389 bans
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
395 picks · 1090 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
389 picks · 830 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
383 picks · 566 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 29%
Hero pool strength55% GLYPH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% GLYPH
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:21
GLYPH 75%Yangon Galacticos 25%
The model gave 75% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH in 43:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezJaCkky
48% · 50 games49% · 314 games
UrsaKsh
Ursa
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
54% · 167 games46% · 294 games
Void SpiritYoung PH
Void Spirit
Pangolier
Pangolierzeal
51% · 129 games
Phoenix
PhoenixNARMAN
55% · 117 games
Hoodwink
HoodwinkJhocam
54% · 145 games
Game 2prediction correct25:14
GLYPH 75%Yangon Galacticos 25%
The model gave 75% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH in 35:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterJaCkky
48% · 85 games45% · 273 games
Void SpiritYoung PH
Void Spirit
Tidehunter
Tidehunterzeal
58% · 60 games48% · 137 games
KezKsh
Kez
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
52% · 106 games
Hoodwink
HoodwinkJhocam
58% · 113 games
Enchantress
EnchantressNARMAN
49% · 46 games
Model check result
Model favoriteGLYPH · 88%
Series resultGLYPH 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2