EPIC League Season 3. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs predictionGEGMT Esportsloss 0:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Prosti Esliwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GMT Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Prosti Esli
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
339 picks · 686 bans
Void Spirit
321 picks · 399 bans
Mars
269 picks · 472 bans
Earth Spirit
250 picks · 210 bans
Death Prophet
224 picks · 332 bans
Rubick
224 picks · 124 bans
Nyx Assassin
215 picks · 638 bans
Keeper of the Light
214 picks · 435 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% GMT Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Prosti Esli
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteProsti Esli · 50%
Series resultProsti Esli 0:1
Series predictioncorrect