BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Gods of Hellloss 0:2series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cuyes Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gods of Hell
Clockwerkoften banned
N1NE · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
bsK7- · 2 games
Windrangeroften banned
N1NE · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
bsK7- · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Hoodwinkoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
Jakiro
Accel · 1 game
Cuyes Esports
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 10 games
Jakiro
Mjz · 6 games
Slardaroften banned
ILICH- · 5 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Mjz · 4 games
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 4 games
Tinyoften banned
Parker · 4 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Mnz · 4 games
Underlordoften banned
ILICH- · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
359 picks · 349 bans
Hoodwink
357 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
347 picks · 258 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 508 bans
Sven
295 picks · 305 bans
Snapfire
289 picks · 258 bans
Windranger
276 picks · 377 bans
Dragon Knight
271 picks · 462 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Cuyes Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Cuyes Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:40
Gods of Hell 29%Cuyes Esports 71%
The model gave 71% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports in 1:05:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunabsK7-
WindrangerCostabile
Queen of PainÑengoflow KELOKE
VisageILICH-
TuskAccel
RubickPiPi
49% · 74 games
ClockwerkPanda
Game 2prediction correct14:35
Gods of Hell 28%Cuyes Esports 72%
The model gave 72% on Cuyes Esports — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports in 38:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladebsK7-
LunaCostabile
InvokerÑengoflow KELOKE
PuckPiPi
Treant ProtectorAccel
SlardarILICH-
56% · 38 games
Naga SirenPanda
Model check result
Model favoriteCuyes Esports · 87%
Series resultCuyes Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2