Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Gods of Hellloss 0:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Midas Clubwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gods of Hell
No games played over 6 months.
Midas Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
372 picks · 340 bans
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 318 bans
Centaur Warrunner
326 picks · 475 bans
Mars
298 picks · 404 bans
Techies
283 picks · 197 bans
Hoodwink
276 picks · 155 bans
Pangolier
272 picks · 407 bans
Batrider
269 picks · 477 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Gods of Hell
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Midas Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:15
Gods of Hell 41%Midas Club 59%
The model gave 59% on Midas Club — the game was taken by Midas Club in 38:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteMidas Club · 59%
Series resultMidas Club 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1