BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionGBGolden Baryswin 1:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TTbIIIIa_HA_CAnAXloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Golden Barys
No games played over 6 months.
TbIIIIa_HA_CAnAX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
611 picks · 619 bans
Snapfire
521 picks · 206 bans
Dragon Knight
516 picks · 693 bans
Tusk
514 picks · 323 bans
Hoodwink
467 picks · 231 bans
Centaur Warrunner
446 picks · 533 bans
Mars
408 picks · 557 bans
Pangolier
388 picks · 572 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Golden Barys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Golden Barys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:39
Golden Barys 52%TbIIIIa_HA_CAnAX 48%
The model gave 52% on Golden Barys — the game was taken by Golden Barys in 43:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteGolden Barys · 52%
Series resultGolden Barys 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1