Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Goonsquadwin 2:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Wisla Krakowloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Goonsquad
No games played over 6 months.
Wisla Krakow
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
539 picks · 367 bans
Queen of Pain
472 picks · 572 bans
Mars
431 picks · 601 bans
Weaver
422 picks · 705 bans
Kunkka
355 picks · 537 bans
Spirit Breaker
341 picks · 572 bans
Snapfire
325 picks · 160 bans
Wraith King
277 picks · 360 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 71%
Hero pool strength50% Goonsquad
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Goonsquad
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:31
Goonsquad 63%Wisla Krakow 37%
The model gave 63% on Goonsquad — the game was taken by Wisla Krakow in 25:27.
Game 2prediction missed6:22
Goonsquad 63%Wisla Krakow 37%
The model gave 63% on Goonsquad — the game was taken by Wisla Krakow in 28:05.
Game 3prediction missed29:12
Goonsquad 63%Wisla Krakow 37%
The model gave 63% on Goonsquad — the game was taken by Wisla Krakow in 31:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteGoonsquad · 63%
Series resultGoonsquad 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3