Streamers League #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gorgc Teamloss 1:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:2
LenS Teamwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gorgc Team
No games played over 6 months.
LenS Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
633 picks · 443 bans
Rubick
599 picks · 342 bans
Pangolier
438 picks · 647 bans
Phoenix
427 picks · 493 bans
Tiny
398 picks · 355 bans
Storm Spirit
338 picks · 380 bans
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 498 bans
Puck
318 picks · 975 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Gorgc Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% LenS Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:48
Gorgc Team 43%LenS Team 57%
The model gave 57% on LenS Team — the game was taken by LenS Team in 33:59.
Game 2prediction missed48:46
Gorgc Team 43%LenS Team 57%
The model gave 57% on LenS Team — the game was taken by Gorgc Team in 1:00:59.
Game 3prediction correct21:41
Gorgc Team 43%LenS Team 57%
The model gave 57% on LenS Team — the game was taken by LenS Team in 44:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteLenS Team · 57%
Series resultLenS Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3