BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
GRIN esportsloss 0:1series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Gods of Hellwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GRIN esports
Disruptorsignature
Lodine · 9 games
Marsoften banned
Moo · 5 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Moo · 4 games
Kunkka
Moo · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Moo · 3 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Moo · 3 games
Axeoften banned
Moo · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Moo · 2 games
Gods of Hell
Windrangeroften banned
N1NE · 2 games
Clockwerkoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Hoodwinkoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Juggernaut
CarJua · 1 game
Troll Warlordoften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
364 picks · 350 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 403 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 514 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
279 picks · 252 bans
Phoenix
277 picks · 475 bans
Windranger
275 picks · 349 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 40%
Hero pool strength56% GRIN esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% GRIN esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
GRIN esports 67%Gods of Hell 33%
The model gave 67% on GRIN esports — the game was taken by Gods of Hell.
Model check result
Model favoriteGRIN esports · 67%
Series resultGods of Hell 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1