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PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Ground Zeroloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cignal Ultrawin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ground Zero

No games played over 6 months.

Cignal Ultra

Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Abat · 7 games
57%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Jamesy · 6 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Jamesy · 4 games
25%
Riki
Rikioften banned
Abat · 4 games
25%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Abat · 3 games
67%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Ab1ng · 3 games
0%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Jamesy · 3 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Jamesy · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
479 picks · 189 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
376 picks · 209 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
366 picks · 574 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
347 picks · 855 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 461 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
319 picks · 244 bans
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
311 picks · 288 bans
48%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
310 picks · 595 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 25%
Hero pool strength53% Ground Zero
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Ground Zero
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteGround Zero · 61%
Series resultCignal Ultra 0:2
Series predictionmissed