Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs predictionGGUBINA13win 2:0
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PSG Questloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GUBINA13
Enchantressoften banned
Yuragi · 3 games
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 3 games
Arc Warden
Alberkaaa · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
Clockwerk
HappyDyurara · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
HappyDyurara · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
PSG Quest
Snapfiresignature
OmaR · 17 games
Pucksignature
No!ob · 14 games
Tinysignature
OmaR · 14 games
Earth Spirit
OmaR · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 12 games
Shadow Shaman
OmaR · 12 games
Iosignature
Eixn · 11 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
648 picks · 476 bans
Puck
446 picks · 967 bans
Dawnbreaker
370 picks · 438 bans
Snapfire
366 picks · 189 bans
Mars
349 picks · 587 bans
Dragon Knight
333 picks · 447 bans
Marci
317 picks · 641 bans
Bane
308 picks · 190 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 51%
Hero pool strength60% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:11
GUBINA13 43%PSG Quest 57%
The model gave 57% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by GUBINA13 in 28:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey KingAlberkaaa
LeshracNo!ob
TinyAntares
RubickOmaR
45% · 129 games
IoEixn
Game 2prediction missed49:20
GUBINA13 41%PSG Quest 59%
The model gave 59% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by GUBINA13 in 33:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom LancerAlberkaaa
ViperNo!ob
Skywrath MageAntares
TinyOmaR
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 65%
Series resultGUBINA13 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2