Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO7
result vs predictionHTHao Teamloss 1:4
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:4
STSylar Teamwin 4:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hao Team
No games played over 6 months.
Sylar Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
614 picks · 384 bans
Rubick
504 picks · 278 bans
Phoenix
500 picks · 586 bans
Tiny
478 picks · 397 bans
Pangolier
415 picks · 578 bans
Puck
355 picks · 957 bans
Beastmaster
340 picks · 888 bans
Tusk
340 picks · 285 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Hao Team
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total66% Hao Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Hao Team 66%Sylar Team 34%
The model gave 66% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Game 2prediction missed
Hao Team 66%Sylar Team 34%
The model gave 66% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Game 3prediction correct
Hao Team 66%Sylar Team 34%
The model gave 66% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 4prediction missed
Hao Team 66%Sylar Team 34%
The model gave 66% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Game 5prediction missed
Hao Team 66%Sylar Team 34%
The model gave 66% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteHao Team · 66%
Series resultSylar Team 1:4
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 5