RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
HAVU Gamingloss 0:2series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dandelionswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HAVU Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
384 picks · 352 bans
Vengeful Spirit
337 picks · 332 bans
Centaur Warrunner
320 picks · 521 bans
Mars
313 picks · 459 bans
Techies
302 picks · 232 bans
Hoodwink
295 picks · 173 bans
Batrider
289 picks · 539 bans
Pangolier
282 picks · 432 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% HAVU Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:31
HAVU Gaming 27%Dandelions 73%
The model gave 73% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions in 29:26.
Game 2prediction correct13:28
HAVU Gaming 27%Dandelions 73%
The model gave 73% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions in 28:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 73%
Series resultDandelions 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2