RES Regional Series: EU #4 · BO2
result vs prediction
HAVU Gamingloss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
V1dar Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HAVU Gaming
Dragon Knightoften banned
MTD · 1 game
Windrangeroften banned
MTD · 1 game
V1dar Gaming
Batrideroften banned
Groom · 4 games
Timbersawoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 3 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
dizzying · 3 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
dizzying · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Difference · 2 games
Luna
dizzying · 2 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Groom · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
Difference · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
379 picks · 363 bans
Hoodwink
367 picks · 407 bans
Jakiro
343 picks · 256 bans
Pangolier
339 picks · 532 bans
Sven
296 picks · 307 bans
Phoenix
294 picks · 510 bans
Ember Spirit
284 picks · 596 bans
Weaver
283 picks · 641 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 29%
Hero pool strength50% HAVU Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% V1dar Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct1:23
HAVU Gaming 44%V1dar Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on V1dar Gaming — the game was taken by V1dar Gaming in 11:02.
Game 2prediction correct9:22
HAVU Gaming 44%V1dar Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on V1dar Gaming — the game was taken by V1dar Gaming in 30:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteV1dar Gaming · 56%
Series resultV1dar Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2