PGL Wallachia Season 7. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionHChAze clanwin 2:1
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:1
PPandaChamploss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
hAze clan
No games played over 6 months.
PandaChamp
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
542 picks · 848 bans
Tusk
517 picks · 369 bans
Dragon Knight
474 picks · 642 bans
Centaur Warrunner
458 picks · 586 bans
Shadow Demon
393 picks · 775 bans
Gyrocopter
350 picks · 582 bans
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 552 bans
Mars
341 picks · 483 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% hAze clan
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% hAze clan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:20
hAze clan 84%PandaChamp 16%
The model gave 84% on hAze clan — the game was taken by PandaChamp in 35:04.
Game 2prediction correct46:47
hAze clan 84%PandaChamp 16%
The model gave 84% on hAze clan — the game was taken by hAze clan in 54:14.
Game 3prediction correct14:31
hAze clan 84%PandaChamp 16%
The model gave 84% on hAze clan — the game was taken by hAze clan in 34:24.
Model check result
Model favoritehAze clan · 84%
Series resulthAze clan 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3