PGL Wallachia Season 7. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionHChAze clanloss 0:2
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rune Eaterswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
hAze clan
No games played over 6 months.
Rune Eaters
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 54 games
Jakirooften banned
monodrama · 45 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 39 games
Void Spirit
Ethereal · 33 games
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 29 games
Tinyoften banned
ani-san · 28 games
Dawnbreaker
Ankou · 27 games
Slardarsignature
Ankou · 26 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
538 picks · 854 bans
Tusk
515 picks · 374 bans
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 643 bans
Centaur Warrunner
459 picks · 589 bans
Shadow Demon
391 picks · 787 bans
Gyrocopter
350 picks · 579 bans
Ember Spirit
349 picks · 556 bans
Mars
341 picks · 485 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 67%
Hero pool strength54% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:30
hAze clan 34%Rune Eaters 66%
The model gave 66% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 29:15.
Game 2prediction correct20:27
hAze clan 34%Rune Eaters 66%
The model gave 66% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 36:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 66%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2