Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaisersloss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bramewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Brame
Earth Spirit
CTOMAHEH1 · 15 games
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 12 games
Grimstroke
SsaSpartan · 12 games
Dark Seersignature
SkyLark · 10 games
Clockwerksignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 9 games
Oracleoften banned
SsaSpartan · 9 games
Death Prophetoften banned
W1sh- · 8 games
Juggernautsignature
Focus · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
427 picks · 938 bans
Void Spirit
407 picks · 584 bans
Death Prophet
359 picks · 654 bans
Mars
335 picks · 583 bans
Earth Spirit
307 picks · 273 bans
Phoenix
256 picks · 364 bans
Tusk
253 picks · 174 bans
Grimstroke
246 picks · 205 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 62%
Hero pool strength53% Brame
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total59% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:25
HellRaisers 41%Brame 59%
The model gave 59% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 43:15.
Game 2prediction correct42:42
HellRaisers 41%Brame 59%
The model gave 59% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 49:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 59%
Series resultBrame 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2