?
arrow_backBack to match
Last-Last Chance · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaiserswin 2:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Into The Breachloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HellRaisers

No games played over 6 months.

Into The Breach

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kidaro · 20 games
60%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 20 games
80%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Ari · 18 games
72%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 11 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 10 games
50%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
Otaker · 10 games
80%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Kidaro · 9 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 9 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
511 picks · 376 bans
52%
Marci
Marci
476 picks · 683 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
317 picks · 530 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
294 picks · 462 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
275 picks · 643 bans
55%
Enigma
Enigma
272 picks · 860 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
267 picks · 374 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
259 picks · 376 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 59%
Hero pool strength58% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
HellRaisers 49%Into The Breach 51%
The model gave 51% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach.
Game 2prediction missed
HellRaisers 49%Into The Breach 51%
The model gave 51% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by HellRaisers.
Game 3prediction missed
HellRaisers 49%Into The Breach 51%
The model gave 51% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by HellRaisers.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 51%
Series resultHellRaisers 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3