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PGL Wallachia Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicloss 0:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Thiolicor · 36 games
61%
Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 30 games
43%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
KJ · 24 games
75%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Yuma · 22 games
55%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Wisper · 21 game
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 20 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Wisper · 18 games
44%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Scofield · 18 games
61%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 42 games
57%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 41 game
63%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 31 game
61%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 26 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
78%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 21 game
48%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Kiritych · 20 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
600 picks · 883 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
491 picks · 524 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
460 picks · 415 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
438 picks · 299 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
409 picks · 1042 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
393 picks · 668 bans
60%
Mars
Mars
384 picks · 576 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
378 picks · 565 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total60% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:27
Heroic 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pudge
PudgeWisper
51% · 93 games55% · 186 games
Shadow FiendKiritych
Shadow Fiend
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterYuma
38% · 314 games49% · 166 games
MarciMieRo
Marci
Razor
RazorTaiLung
43% · 137 games53% · 298 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Dazzle
DazzleKJ
46% · 149 games57% · 254 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanThiolicor
49% · 297 games61% · 86 games
Treant ProtectorKataomi
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction correct16:28
Heroic 45%BETBOOM TEAM 55%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterYuma
45% · 345 games50% · 387 games
BeastmastergpK~
Beastmaster
Largo
LargoWisper
51% · 80 games50% · 269 games
MarciKiritych
Marci
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritTaiLung
55% · 352 games52% · 418 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Dark Willow
Dark WillowThiolicor
47% · 256 games52% · 414 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Tusk
TuskKJ
48% · 482 games46% · 27 games
IoKataomi
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 60%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2