Elite League · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Heroic
Gyrocoptersignature
KJ · 21 game
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Scofield · 18 games
Pangoliersignature
4nalog · 17 games
Lion
Scofield · 13 games
Faceless Voidsignature
K1 · 12 games
Marsoften banned
Davai · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
4nalog · 11 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
KJ · 11 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
502 picks · 787 bans
Batrider
463 picks · 962 bans
Mars
454 picks · 720 bans
Techies
454 picks · 352 bans
Tiny
453 picks · 599 bans
Crystal Maiden
447 picks · 196 bans
Rubick
435 picks · 207 bans
Pangolier
423 picks · 710 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 56%
Hero pool strength57% Heroic
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:35
Heroic 49%G2 Invictus Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 45:14.
Game 2prediction correct10:37
Heroic 49%G2 Invictus Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 35:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 51%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2