DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicloss 0:2series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 0:2
GamerLegionwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Heroic
Tusk
Scofield · 27 games
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 25 games
Puckoften banned
4nalog · 20 games
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 19 games
Enigmaoften banned
Wisper · 19 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Wisper · 18 games
Axe
Davai · 17 games
Bane
KJ · 17 games
GamerLegion
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 8 games
Snapfiresignature
Bignum · 8 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 7 games
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 6 games
Pangolieroften banned
Fayde · 4 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 4 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 4 games
Warlock
Speeed · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
778 picks · 360 bans
Hoodwink
607 picks · 302 bans
Jakiro
584 picks · 489 bans
Dragon Knight
566 picks · 708 bans
Disruptor
554 picks · 550 bans
Tusk
535 picks · 320 bans
Mars
507 picks · 756 bans
Centaur Warrunner
501 picks · 566 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Heroic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:48
Heroic 71%GamerLegion 29%
The model gave 71% on Heroic — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 47:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WeaverYuma
KezYamSun
Storm SpiritWisper
TimbersawFayde
MarsDavai
Ember SpiritRCY
Nyx AssassinScofield
BatriderSpeeed
PugnaKJ
Shadow DemonBignum
Game 2prediction missed16:35
Heroic 71%GamerLegion 29%
The model gave 71% on Heroic — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 42:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MarciYuma
JuggernautYamSun
PuckWisper
Void SpiritRCY
EnigmaDavai
PangolierFayde
WarlockKJ
BatriderBignum
Skywrath MageScofield
JakiroSpeeed
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 85%
Series resultGamerLegion 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2