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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
Heroicloss 1:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OGloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Scofield · 17 games
71%
Lion
Lion
Scofield · 13 games
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
KJ · 11 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Davai · 11 games
55%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
4nalog · 11 games
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
4nalog · 10 games
60%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
KJ · 10 games
70%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
KJ · 9 games
56%

OG

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 16 games
63%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Wisper · 13 games
54%
Io
Iosignature
Ceb · 12 games
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Yuragi · 11 games
55%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
bzm · 11 games
45%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Ari · 11 games
64%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Ceb · 11 games
73%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
bzm · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
376 picks · 327 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
331 picks · 480 bans
58%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
329 picks · 316 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
277 picks · 401 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
271 picks · 371 bans
56%
Techies
Techies
266 picks · 184 bans
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
261 picks · 144 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
256 picks · 188 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% OG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:41
Heroic 53%OG 47%
The model gave 53% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 1:12:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverK1
56% · 52 games60% · 9 games
Arc WardenTimado
Arc Warden
Primal Beast
Primal Beast4nalog
50% · 212 games49% · 256 games
Pangolierbzm
Pangolier
Kunkka
KunkkaDavai
47% · 113 games52% · 38 games
SlardarWisper
Slardar
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKJ
58% · 81 game49% · 107 games
TechiesAri
Techies
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeScofield
46% · 153 games46% · 201 game
Vengeful SpiritCeb
Vengeful Spirit
Game 2prediction missed19:42
Heroic 52%OG 48%
The model gave 52% on Heroic — the game was taken by OG in 57:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeK1
52% · 151 game54% · 138 games
Puckbzm
Puck
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit4nalog
53% · 193 games38% · 79 games
Phantom LancerTimado
Phantom Lancer
Beastmaster
BeastmasterDavai
62% · 173 games38% · 135 games
MarsWisper
Mars
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanScofield
46% · 9 games54% · 263 games
MiranaCeb
Mirana
Undying
UndyingKJ
52% · 164 games44% · 75 games
HoodwinkAri
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2