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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Heroicloss 0:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:1
OGwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 27 games
70%
Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 27 games
48%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 24 games
63%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 22 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 22 games
55%
Puck
Pucksignature
4nalog · 20 games
60%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
4nalog · 19 games
58%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 19 games
63%

OG

Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 31 game
42%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Daze · 28 games
61%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
MikSa` · 24 games
33%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 23 games
48%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Stojkov · 22 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 21 game
43%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Stormstormer · 20 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Lelis · 20 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
782 picks · 357 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
585 picks · 584 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
573 picks · 301 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
484 picks · 309 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
478 picks · 563 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
472 picks · 268 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
461 picks · 752 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
437 picks · 1115 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 45%
Hero pool strength55% Heroic
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total61% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:23
Heroic 56%OG 44%
The model gave 56% on Heroic — the game was taken by OG in 28:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritWisper
47% · 281 game52% · 312 games
TerrorbladeNatsumi
Terrorblade
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightYuma
51% · 323 games47% · 190 games
AxeForce
Axe
Viper
ViperDavai
49% · 32 games46% · 267 games
MarsYopaj
Mars
Chen
ChenKJ
56% · 180 games55% · 59 games
VenomancerSkem
Venomancer
Tusk
TuskScofield
47% · 362 games51% · 350 games
SnapfireTims
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 61%
Series resultOG 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1