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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:1
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:1
OG LATAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 21 game
62%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Wisper · 20 games
65%
Muerta
Muerta
Scofield · 19 games
58%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
KJ · 18 games
72%
Jakiro
Jakiro
KJ · 17 games
29%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Wisper · 15 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Wisper · 14 games
43%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
4nalog · 14 games
64%

OG LATAM

Tusk
Tusk
Elmisho · 8 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 6 games
33%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
MoOz · 6 games
50%
Underlord
Underlord
ILICH- · 6 games
33%
Jakiro
Jakiro
MoOz · 5 games
20%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
Elmisho · 5 games
40%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
K1 · 5 games
60%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
K1 · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
513 picks · 582 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
486 picks · 438 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
466 picks · 235 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
365 picks · 739 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
332 picks · 509 bans
51%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
331 picks · 766 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
316 picks · 284 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
306 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 33%
Hero pool strength57% Heroic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:11
Heroic 67%OG LATAM 33%
The model gave 67% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 39:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeYuma
49% · 200 games44% · 195 games
MedusaK1
Medusa
Beastmaster
Beastmaster4nalog
56% · 179 games42% · 113 games
SniperTaiLung
Sniper
Magnus
MagnusWisper
53% · 112 games59% · 52 games
UndyingILICH-
Undying
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanScofield
59% · 128 games45% · 266 games
RingmasterMoOz
Ringmaster
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionKJ
58% · 164 games41% · 157 games
SilencerElmisho
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed35:37
Heroic 66%OG LATAM 34%
The model gave 66% on Heroic — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 1:02:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark Seer
Dark SeerWisper
56% · 207 games44% · 157 games
WeaverK1
Weaver
Lina
LinaYuma
45% · 96 games52% · 134 games
BrewmasterILICH-
Brewmaster
Beastmaster
Beastmaster4nalog
47% · 330 games47% · 289 games
Storm SpiritTaiLung
Storm Spirit
Tusk
TuskScofield
48% · 300 games58% · 141 game
Shadow ShamanElmisho
Shadow Shaman
Oracle
OracleKJ
52% · 59 games50% · 271 game
Dark WillowMoOz
Dark Willow
Game 3prediction correct43:22
Heroic 66%OG LATAM 34%
The model gave 66% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 52:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomWisper
49% · 239 games49% · 170 games
UrsaK1
Ursa
Abaddon
AbaddonYuma
46% · 99 games49% · 127 games
BrewmasterILICH-
Brewmaster
Pangolier
Pangolier4nalog
51% · 341 game52% · 141 game
KunkkaTaiLung
Kunkka
Clockwerk
ClockwerkScofield
53% · 349 games48% · 346 games
MuertaMoOz
Muerta
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionKJ
56% · 105 games48% · 349 games
BatriderElmisho
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 78%
Series resultHeroic 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3