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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicloss 0:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
4nalog · 30 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 22 games
73%
Lion
Lionsignature
Scofield · 18 games
61%
Muerta
Muerta
Scofield · 17 games
59%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
4nalog · 16 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Wisper · 16 games
69%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Scofield · 16 games
63%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Davai · 14 games
50%

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 20 games
80%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 19 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 17 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 17 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
65%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
76%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 16 games
63%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
471 picks · 411 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
453 picks · 557 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
441 picks · 549 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
425 picks · 537 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
419 picks · 777 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
410 picks · 443 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
409 picks · 230 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
395 picks · 841 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 61%
Hero pool strength55% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total63% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:19
Heroic 44%PARIVISION 56%
The model gave 56% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 34:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterYuma
56% · 312 games44% · 247 games
Templar AssassinSatanic
Templar Assassin
Monkey King
Monkey King4nalog
55% · 232 games44% · 119 games
Queen of PainNo[o]ne
Queen of Pain
Mars
MarsWisper
54% · 229 games50% · 166 games
EnigmaDM
Enigma
Lion
LionScofield
53% · 265 games46% · 393 games
Morphling9Class
Morphling
Phoenix
PhoenixKJ
50% · 324 games48% · 437 games
ClockwerkDukalis
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct10:24
Heroic 44%PARIVISION 56%
The model gave 56% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 28:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterWisper
54% · 252 games43% · 122 games
Phantom AssassinSatanic
Phantom Assassin
Huskar
Huskar4nalog
56% · 44 games49% · 433 games
Dragon KnightNo[o]ne
Dragon Knight
Tiny
TinyYuma
55% · 421 game48% · 96 games
TidehunterDM
Tidehunter
Dark Willow
Dark WillowScofield
46% · 241 game45% · 523 games
Batrider9Class
Batrider
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKJ
51% · 383 games54% · 167 games
ChenDukalis
Chen
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 63%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2