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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 1:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:0
REKONIXloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 30 games
43%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
KJ · 28 games
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 23 games
70%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 20 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Wisper · 20 games
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
KJ · 19 games
84%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 18 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Wisper · 18 games
67%

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 21 game
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 12 games
83%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 11 games
45%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 11 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
80%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 9 games
33%
Kez
Kezsignature
TraVins · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
607 picks · 938 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
537 picks · 437 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
488 picks · 644 bans
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
485 picks · 650 bans
47%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
443 picks · 956 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
396 picks · 652 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
392 picks · 531 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
380 picks · 233 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 54%
Hero pool strength53% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:7
Heroic 61%REKONIX 39%
The model gave 61% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 23:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
BroodmotherYuma
59% · 33 games43% · 116 games
WeaverTraVins
Weaver
Batrider
BatriderWisper
49% · 217 games57% · 37 games
LargoFbz
Largo
Primal Beast
Primal BeastTaiLung
52% · 107 games46% · 400 games
TinyinYourdreaM
Tiny
Jakiro
JakiroThiolicor
47% · 372 games48% · 245 games
Hoodwinkdalul
Hoodwink
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionKJ
46% · 131 game65% · 62 games
Faceless VoidVarizh
Faceless Void
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 69%
Series resultHeroic 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1