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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Heroicloss 0:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Yandexwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 26 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 25 games
68%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 24 games
63%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 22 games
55%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 21 game
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
4nalog · 19 games
58%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 19 games
63%
Bane
Bane
KJ · 18 games
44%

Team Yandex

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 19 games
63%
Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 18 games
44%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 16 games
81%
Tusk
Tusk
prblms · 16 games
56%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 15 games
67%
Axe
Axesignature
Noticed · 14 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
TA2000 · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
776 picks · 354 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 598 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
561 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
462 picks · 538 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
460 picks · 276 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
459 picks · 282 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
452 picks · 737 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
431 picks · 1125 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 66%
Hero pool strength52% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:32
Heroic 48%Team Yandex 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 48:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainWisper
42% · 303 games54% · 318 games
GyrocopterWatson
Gyrocopter
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightYuma
46% · 433 games52% · 268 games
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
Centaur Warrunner
Tidehunter
TidehunterDavai
50% · 200 games58% · 67 games
HuskarChira JUNIOR
Huskar
Tusk
TuskScofield
48% · 411 games51% · 413 games
JakiroMalady
Jakiro
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageKJ
43% · 75 games57% · 356 games
BatriderSaksa
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 51%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 1