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Winline Insight · BO3
result vs prediction
HFloss 0:2
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Empirewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HF

Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 15 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 13 games
77%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 12 games
58%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 12 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Kaori · 10 games
70%
Io
Iosignature
Kaori · 9 games
78%
Bane
Bane
Malady · 8 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
hAze · 8 games
75%

Team Empire

Mars
Marsoften banned
DkFogas · 19 games
37%
Tiny
Tiny
xannii · 19 games
42%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
[T]SA · 18 games
44%
Bane
Bane
633 · 17 games
41%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
[T]SA · 14 games
21%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
DkFogas · 14 games
43%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 11 games
36%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Shachlo · 11 games
36%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
504 picks · 442 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
466 picks · 690 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
435 picks · 543 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
426 picks · 291 bans
59%
Pangolier
Pangolier
364 picks · 597 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
362 picks · 583 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 630 bans
47%
Sand King
Sand King
336 picks · 495 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 35%
Hero pool strength61% HF
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total69% HF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:38
HF 69%Team Empire 31%
The model gave 69% on HF — the game was taken by Team Empire in 38:20.
Game 2prediction missed8:55
HF 69%Team Empire 31%
The model gave 69% on HF — the game was taken by Team Empire in 25:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteHF · 69%
Series resultTeam Empire 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2