BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:2
4 Zoomerswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 362 bans
Queen of Pain
473 picks · 568 bans
Mars
438 picks · 594 bans
Weaver
415 picks · 715 bans
Kunkka
351 picks · 535 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 569 bans
Snapfire
332 picks · 160 bans
Wraith King
277 picks · 359 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 45%
Hero pool strength50% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total64% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:29
Hokori 36%4 Zoomers 64%
The model gave 64% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 42:04.
Game 2prediction correct29:4
Hokori 36%4 Zoomers 64%
The model gave 64% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 32:19.
Game 3prediction correct37:16
Hokori 36%4 Zoomers 64%
The model gave 64% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 31:04.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 64%
Series result4 Zoomers 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3