The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
BETBOOM TEAM
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 9 games
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
502 picks · 389 bans
Marci
439 picks · 674 bans
Death Prophet
298 picks · 462 bans
Puck
286 picks · 689 bans
Dawnbreaker
276 picks · 398 bans
Undying
267 picks · 475 bans
Chen
248 picks · 510 bans
Winter Wyvern
247 picks · 333 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 69%
Hero pool strength53% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:30
Hokori 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 45:07.
Game 2prediction correct24:20
Hokori 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 56%
Accuracy by game2 of 2