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ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fantasy Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hokori

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Genek · 1 game
100%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Lumière · 1 game
100%
Pugna
Pugna
Gardick · 1 game
100%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Vitaly · 1 game
100%

Fantasy Gaming

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 2 games
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Zxca · 2 games
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
drakesh1t · 1 game
0%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DM · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
drakesh1t · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Robo-Z · 1 game
0%
Night Stalker
Night Stalker
drakesh1t · 1 game
0%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
428 picks · 545 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
375 picks · 373 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
326 picks · 438 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
314 picks · 369 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
300 picks · 571 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
277 picks · 146 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
264 picks · 339 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
257 picks · 244 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength63% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:20
Hokori 66%Fantasy Gaming 34%
The model gave 66% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 36:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaLumière
47% · 89 games54% · 187 games
GyrocopterDM
Gyrocopter
Beastmaster
BeastmasterVitaly
41% · 160 games53% · 197 games
TinyS1RENM
Tiny
Batrider
BatriderGenek
49% · 283 games57% · 88 games
EnigmaArzenT
Enigma
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiGardick
51% · 24 games50% · 84 games
Naga SirenJimmyCoff666
Naga Siren
Game 2prediction correct34:29
Hokori 65%Fantasy Gaming 35%
The model gave 65% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 45:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaLumière
44% · 92 games56% · 199 games
LunaDM
Luna
Sand King
Sand KingVitaly
44% · 82 games56% · 132 games
Storm SpiritS1RENM
Storm Spirit
Muerta
MuertaGenek
45% · 90 games53% · 72 games
EnigmaArzenT
Enigma
Tusk
TuskGardick
47% · 167 games54% · 28 games
Ogre MagiJimmyCoff666
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 79%
Series resultHokori 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2