BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Infamousloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Banesignature
Prada · 6 games
Marssignature
Mariano · 6 games
Monkey Kingsignature
PiPi · 6 games
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 6 games
Mirana
Pamplona · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
Snapfire
Pamplona · 5 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rises · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
457 picks · 281 bans
Mars
447 picks · 611 bans
Tiny
410 picks · 478 bans
Sand King
372 picks · 495 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 779 bans
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 516 bans
Storm Spirit
321 picks · 494 bans
Pangolier
318 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 47%
Hero pool strength63% Infamous
Head-to-head5 – 5
Model total54% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:20
Hokori 46%Infamous 54%
The model gave 54% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 38:38.
Game 2prediction correct69:65
Hokori 46%Infamous 54%
The model gave 54% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 1:16:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 54%
Accuracy by game2 of 2