BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Infinity Esports
Marssignature
Valquiria · 14 games
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 13 games
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 11 games
Snapfire
Jupiter · 10 games
Treant Protector
Nuages · 9 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 8 games
Bane
Nuages · 7 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Benny · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
458 picks · 281 bans
Mars
454 picks · 625 bans
Tiny
421 picks · 481 bans
Sand King
390 picks · 513 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 780 bans
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 538 bans
Storm Spirit
333 picks · 512 bans
Pangolier
324 picks · 485 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Hokori
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total54% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed51:34
Hokori 54%Infinity Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on Hokori — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 1:00:09.
Game 2prediction missed37:49
Hokori 54%Infinity Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on Hokori — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 53:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 54%
Series resultHokori 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2