BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
King Of Kingsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
544 picks · 368 bans
Queen of Pain
478 picks · 569 bans
Mars
446 picks · 599 bans
Weaver
425 picks · 777 bans
Snapfire
362 picks · 173 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 571 bans
Kunkka
341 picks · 540 bans
Wraith King
286 picks · 345 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 35%
Hero pool strength50% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total60% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:8
Hokori 60%King Of Kings 40%
The model gave 60% on Hokori — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 32:01.
Game 2prediction missed12:40
Hokori 60%King Of Kings 40%
The model gave 60% on Hokori — the game was taken by King Of Kings in 40:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 60%
Series resultHokori 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2