BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Lavawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Lava
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
554 picks · 379 bans
Queen of Pain
472 picks · 569 bans
Mars
451 picks · 620 bans
Weaver
434 picks · 813 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 176 bans
Kunkka
344 picks · 545 bans
Spirit Breaker
341 picks · 571 bans
Wraith King
281 picks · 340 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 47%
Hero pool strength50% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% Lava
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:38
Hokori 44%Lava 56%
The model gave 56% on Lava — the game was taken by Lava in 42:19.
Game 2prediction correct13:35
Hokori 44%Lava 56%
The model gave 56% on Lava — the game was taken by Lava in 30:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteLava · 56%
Series resultLava 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2