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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:1
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NoPing VPNloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hokori

No games played over 6 months.

NoPing VPN

Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Accel · 27 games
78%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Oscar · 22 games
59%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkMago · 19 games
53%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Mariano · 16 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 15 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
Oscar · 15 games
80%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
Panda · 14 games
57%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Panda · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
425 picks · 166 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 467 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
306 picks · 616 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
301 picks · 524 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
300 picks · 695 bans
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
265 picks · 111 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
263 picks · 341 bans
46%
Lina
Lina
258 picks · 332 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 56%
Hero pool strength58% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total62% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:25
Hokori 38%NoPing VPN 62%
The model gave 62% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 36:04.
Game 2prediction correct31:6
Hokori 38%NoPing VPN 62%
The model gave 62% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 18:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 62%
Series resultHokori 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2