BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team DogChamploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Team DogChamp
Hoodwinksignature
yarintheslayer · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
yarintheslayer · 6 games
Marssignature
lukiluki · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
lukiluki · 6 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
StoneBank · 5 games
Bane
Bloody Nine · 4 games
Lich
Bloody Nine · 4 games
Lion
yarintheslayer · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
554 picks · 385 bans
Queen of Pain
466 picks · 565 bans
Mars
450 picks · 632 bans
Weaver
432 picks · 821 bans
Snapfire
362 picks · 179 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 571 bans
Kunkka
341 picks · 540 bans
Wraith King
281 picks · 333 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 53%
Hero pool strength56% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:36
Hokori 45%Team DogChamp 55%
The model gave 55% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 30:51.
Game 2prediction correct50:23
Hokori 45%Team DogChamp 55%
The model gave 55% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 37:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 55%
Series resultHokori 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2