ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 1:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TKTeam kendallxloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Team kendallx
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
422 picks · 530 bans
Clockwerk
371 picks · 363 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 438 bans
Luna
311 picks · 363 bans
Enchantress
300 picks · 562 bans
Dark Willow
273 picks · 144 bans
Dragon Knight
261 picks · 341 bans
Shadow Demon
255 picks · 948 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:22
Hokori 86%Team kendallx 14%
The model gave 86% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 44:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 86%
Series resultHokori 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1